A betting guide to the Premier League on Saturday – match odds, key trends and views from the experts.
Liverpool v Chelsea -12.45pm
Match Odds: Liverpool 5/2 (betfred) – Draw 5/2 (Boylesports) – Chelsea 13/10 (bet365)
- Liverpool have kept just two clean sheets in their last 16 league games.
- Brendan Rodgers’ side have lost just one home game this season and have only lost two of their last 21 home games.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 13 league games.
- Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet in their last six away league games
Our View: Chelsea will have plenty of backers at 13/10, they are unbeaten this season and Fabregas, Hazard & Costa are likely to cause the Liverpool defence plenty of problems. Despite not having played well this season, Liverpool are still a tough team to beat at Anfield and rested players in midweek in preparation for this game. Both teams had away games in the Champions League during the week and with this being an early kick-off it may well be a low tempo start at Anfield. The time of the 1st goal to come after the 26th minute is available at Evens with BetVictor and that looks the best bet in what could be a very low scoring, tight encounter.
Burnley v Hull – 3pm
Match Odds: Burnley 13/8 (Paddy Power) – Draw 12/5 (bet365) – Hull 21/10 (BetVictor)
- Burnley have scored a joint-low five goals in 10 league games.
- Burnley have conceded 15 goals in their last five league games.
- Hull have won just one of their last 10 away games.
- Four of the last five meetings have eneded 1-0, including the last three.
Our View: Burnley will fancy their chances of finally getting their first win of the season against Hull on Saturday. Both look to be sides of similar ability, well organised and tough to beat at home. However the key difference is that Hull have goal scorers in their side and that’s something that continues to hurt Sean Dyche’s side. Recent meetings have been close and I expect something similar, with a 0-0 or 1-0 either way, all possible outcomes. The best angle looks to be backing Under 1.5 goals at 9/4 with bet365.
Man United v Crystal Palace – 3pm
Match Odds: Man United 1/3 (Boylesports) – Draw 5/1 (bet365) – Crystal Palace 11/1 (BetVictor)
- United’s home record this season is 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss – they have kept just one clean sheet.
- Only Crystal Palace and Tottenham (both seven) have conceded more goals from set pieces than United’s six this season.
- Crystal Palace have conceded 19 goals in 10 games, only QPR have conceded more (20).
- Crystal Palace have scored in four of their five away games this season.
Our View: United make no appeal at odds of 1/3, they are without five defenders and will have yet another new central defensive partnership in place. Palace have played well in some of their away games this season with Neil Warnock playing a more offensive style of football. Expect a high scoring game with both teams to score at 21/20 (BetVictor) and Over 3.5 goals at 6/4 (William Hill) the best bets.
Southampton v Leicester – 3pm
Match Odds: Southampton 4/9 (bet365) – Draw 19/5 (boylesports) – Leicester 8/1 (BetVictor)
- Southampton are unbeaten at home this season – 4 wins, 1 draw – and have conceded just the one goal.
- Leicester have picked up just one point from their last five league games.
- Leicester have scored just one goal in their five away games this season.
Our View: Southampton have made the club’s best start in top-flight history and will be rightly part of many accas this weekend. It’s difficult to see their winning run being stopped by a Leicester side who have really lost their form in the past six weeks. The Saints are worth backing on a -1 handicap at odds of 6/5 (Paddy Power), meaning we need them to win by two goals to collect our bet.
West Ham v Aston Villa – 3pm
Match Odds: West Ham 3/4 (bet365) – Draw 11/4 (bet365) – Aston Villa 9/2 (bet365)
Our View: There was a lot to like about the way West Ham fought back from 2-0 down to earn a 2-2 draw away to Stoke last weekend. It shows that there is good team spirit amongst Sam Allardyce’s side which is something that seems to be missing from Aston Villa. Paul Lambert is under real pressure with his side on a losing run of six straight games, where they have scored just one goal. A home win at 3/4 (bet365) seems the most straight forward bet.
QPR v Man City – 5.30pm
Match Odds: QPR 6/1 (bet365) – Draw 15/4 (bet365) – Man City 8/15 (boylesports)
- QPR have scored in five of their last six league games.
- Man City have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away games.
Our View: City make no appeal odds of 8/15, terrible in midweek in the Champions League and rumours of discontent in the dressing room. QPR have played well in recent games and could cause an upset but both teams to score at 8/11 (skybet) should be a winner.
What the Experts Say:
Liverpool v Chelsea
2pts Chelsea To Win @ 5/4
1.5pts Both Teams To Score @ 10/11
0.5pts Diego Costa To Score 1st @ 4/1
QPR v Man City
2pts QPR +1.5 goals on Asian Handicap at 4/6
1.5pts Both Teams To Score @ 3/4
0.5pts Edin Dzeko To Score 1st @ 7/2
2.5pts Chelsea to beat Liverpool
0.5pt Manchester United to beat Crystal Palace 3-1
1.5pt Southampton to win to nil v Leicester
1pt West Ham to beat Aston Villa by one goal