With uncertainty about how much rain is set to fall on Wednesday, Steve Hughes nominates two selections from All Weather fixtures today.
Whilst rain is set to fall pretty much all day in England, it seems to be difficult to gauge just how much is expected and therefore quite how soft the ground on turf will be. Therefore with two All Weather meetings scheduled for Kempton and Southwell, I have a selection for each as the rain will have less of an impact on ground conditions here.
Southwell 4.30: Two Moons
By far the least exposed of these, Two Moons can step up on his decent maiden form on the Fibresand during the winter season and gain a first success in handicap company this afternoon.
He had already shown a bit of promise in two Pontefract maidens last season, but he showed he could handle the Fibresand when following up a runners-up berth over a mile in March with a win over 7f here just six days later, showing plenty of determination to fight off On Demand in the closing stages.
He was far from disgraced on his handicap debut in a competitive class 4 contest at Pontefract again, finishing a fair seventh to Ansaab over a mile. That suggested his current mark of 75 is fair enough and with his form on Fibresand he could find some more improvement here. It is possible this race could turn into a burn up with Royal Holiday, Piceno and Repetition all keen to get on with things, so if Two Moons can stay in touch, his stamina will bring him into play late on.
Kempton 6.30: Dandy
Although he has spent most of his career racing on turf, Dandy showed plenty of promise when switched to Polytrack last time at Lingfield and deserves another chance on sand at Kempton tonight.
His first effort on the All Weather can be safely ignored back in 2012 as he failed to stay 12f, but given the lead at Lingfield, he made a bold bid to make all under an inexperienced apprentice before Xinbama pounced late on. Making all in handicaps at Lingfield is tricky but the shorter 10f circuit at Kempton with its short run-in is built much more in favour of front runners, so if similar tactics are adopted this evening, they could well pay off.
Dandy can call upon the considerable talents of Oisin Murphy today who is already proving a very tactically astute pilot. I will forgive the horse a poor run at Newmarket last time as apart from his fine effort at Lingfield, he had also run well this spring when second at Bath, so his current mark of 74, just 2lbs higher than his last winning rating at Chepstow last June, can be exploited here.
1pt win – Two Moons – 4.30 Southwell (6/1 general)
1pt win – Dandy – 6.30 Kempton (8/1 Bet365)