Steve Hughes uses an obvious tactic for his Thursday Chester bets.
The inside line is generally the quickest way to go so it is obvious why a low draw is so beneficial at Chester. I have selections in two handicaps today, including horses drawn in stall one in each race.
Chester 1.50: Amomentofmadness
For a horse so quick out of the blocks and into his stride, stall one is a dream draw for Amomentofmadness in this sprint contest.
At Kempton last month he was out and away from his low draw in just a few yards and never looked like being caught. On a straight track that early speed can be negated as his rivals can find it easier just to track him through and pick him off.
Around a bend however William Buick can keep him locked against the rail, forcing everything else to have to come the long way around to pass him. In his favour is that the handicapper has decided he is a better horse on the All Weather and dropped his turf mark back to 95, the same as when winning at Kempton. However I think the horse is simply better around a bend where his early pace becomes more important, so I think he is well in today.
Chester 3.00: Noblemans Nest & Simpson
Two against the field here, with horses drawn on opposite sides of the track.
No doubt it will be tricky for Noblemans Nest from stall 12. However he is priced accordingly and he does seem best at coming from off the pace. Therefore Oisin Murphy can take a pull coming out of the stalls, hope for a strong gallop (very likely) and try and weave his way through fast and late. I was really taken by the way the horse travelled at Newbury on his reappearance before cutting out late on, but he will be sharper today.
Simpson failed to stay 10f in the Derby trial at Epsom last month, but this looks his trip and he can make use of his inside stall. His form in nurseries at around a mile was extremely solid last year, especially with a bit of cut in the ground. However he caught the eye on fast ground at Newmarket on his last start of 2017, just wandering a bit for pressure late on as he was perhaps feeling the fast going. Conditions will be more suitable today and this horse looks well suited to big field handicaps.
1pt win – Amomentofmadness – 1.50 Chester – 4/1 Bet365
1pt win – Simpson – 3.00 Chester – 10/1 general
0.5pts each-way – Noblemans Nest – 3.00 Chester – 20/1 general