Ray Flanagan with a portfolio of bets for the Ladies Wimbledon Tennis
The Wimbledon fortnight gets underway this Monday and while the men’s event looks a formality for a Djokovic/ Murray final with Djokovic winning, the women’s event is much more interesting from a betting perspective.
World Number One Serena Williams is clearly not the dominant force she was twelve months ago with her days at the top spot numbered, yet the layers insist on making her a short priced favourite giving us punters a chance. The most likely winner and indeed the girl destined to dominate women’s tennis for the next few years is French Open Champion Garbine Muguruza. However , while she came in under the radar at Paris she will be feeling the spotlight at this event, it may take another year or so before she establishes real dominance on the game and an opening chalk of 5-1 does not rock my boat to any great extent.
I prefer a few interesting alternatives at double figure prices and indeed our headline selection at a treble figure price.
Dominika Cibulkova (pictured) has returned to form this year and is coming into the event at the top of her game. A former Australian Open and French Open finalist she was out of sorts last year troubled with injury but appears to have put all that behind her in 2016. The Slovak won the recent warm up event in Eastbourne proving her liking for a grass court and she has been in fine form on the WTA Tour all season winning in Katowice and reaching the final in Madrid and Acapulco.I suspect her big price is due to not showing much at any of the four majors for a while but I am not unduly concerned about that- she has reached two major finals in the past and she is worth an investment.
There could be a big fourth round clash ahead with Agniezka Radwanska and the Polish women looks worth backing also. Radwanska has a fine Wimbledon record reaching a final and two semi finals in three of the last four years and she states grass to be her favoured surface. She has plenty of big tournament experience and looks primed for a good showing with encouraging form in recent weeks. I expect a real battle between these two ladies in Round 4 and I fancy the winner to come through Quarter 2 and have a right shot at making the final.
On the other side of the draw, I think Madison Keys might represent the value. She has been drawn in Quarter 3 against mostly a group of clay court players and there would seem a very good chance that she can reach the semi final at least. She has won her two tour victories on a grass surface and has been in very good form this year losing narrowly to Serena Williams in Rome after overcoming Muguruza in the semi final. An up and coming player,the 21 -year old American made the quarters last year and I expect can reach the semi’s this year where she will have a sporting chance against Muguruza if it plays out to seeding.
Finally , I will have a small interest on Venus Williams who might have one last hurrah in her. The five-time champion has not won here since 2008, and has shown no form of any substance in 2016, but she always reserves her best for this event and was in the process of performing very well last year only to post a lacklustre effort against Serena in the Quarter Final where it is quite possible she had little interest in beating her. Crucially she is drawn in the opposite half to her sister this time and that can free her up to giving it a lash. Muguruza will be difficult for her if they meet in the Quarter Final but you never know what could happen if the Spanaird suffered a shock early elimination.
Recommended Bets, (1/2 odds 1-2 places on the outright market)
0.5 pts ew- Dominika Cibulkova-100-1 General
0.75 pts ew-Agnieska Radwanska-25-1 General
1 pt ew-Madison Keys-12-1 General
0.5 pts ew- Venus Williams-50-1 General
1.5 pts -Radwanska to win Quarter 2-5-1 Corals, 4-1 General
1 pt -Cibulkova to win Quarter 2- 16-1 Paddy Power/ 12-1 General
2 pts Keys to win Quarter 3-3-1 Paddy Power