NCAAF Week 9 Best Bets

It’s the last weekend in October, which means we’re about to embark on the most meaningful stretch of the college football season. From crucial conference matchups to all-important rivalry games, the next few weeks are a college football fan’s dream. With a little luck, they’ll be profitable weeks as well…

Here are this week’s selections:

Virginia Tech @ Boston College Saturday 16:30 GMT

Line: Virginia Tech -3 (Titanbet)

I realize Boston College has lost four straight and has beaten just one FBS team this season, but I’m really having trouble getting behind Virginia Tech in this spot. The Hokies have disintegrated over the past month, losing four of their past 5 games and finding themselves on the brink of missing out on postseason play for the first time since 1992. They’re coming off a soul-crushing 4-OT loss to Duke and now they head north to face a lightly-regarded team on rock-hard astroturf, in what is sure to be a half-empty stadium. In other words, this is a gross situation for the Hokies, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we saw a flat, uninspiring performance from them. Boston College does one thing really well: they play great defense. As a matter of fact, the Eagles have surrendered more than 17 points just once in their 8 games, and three of their five losses have come by 3 points or fewer. I have a feeling they’ll suffocate the VT offense and pull the mild upset here.

Miami (FL) @ Duke Saturday 23:00 GMT

Line: Duke -11 (BetVictor)

Well, if you’re the Miami Hurricanes there’s really nowhere to go but up. After a humiliating 58-0 drubbing at the hands of Clemson the players could only stand by as Al Golden, the man who had recruited them all, was unceremoniously fired. Now they’re a whopping 11-point ‘dog against Duke, a program that has been a punch line for most of the past 30 years. And if you have any confidence in the Canes in this spot, then I’d like to be your real estate agent– got some beautiful property on the South Pole!! Seriously though, Miami feels primed for another beating, and I say that not because they’ll be without their leader on the sideline, but because they’ll be without their leader on the field. Quarterback Brad Kaaya is banged-up and will likely sit this one out, meaning redshirt freshman Malik Rosier will be making his first career start. Rosier will have to make some plays, too, as Duke excels at stopping the run, surrendering fewer than 3 yards per carry on the season. I don’t know about you, but I don’t have a whole lot of confidence in young Mr. Rosier, and I think his chances of keeping pace with a Duke offense that has produced 34 points or more in 5 of 7 games are extraordinarily remote. Expect the Blue Devils to roll.

Michigan @ Minnesota Saturday 23:00 GMT

Line: Michigan -14 (bet365)

The Wolverines have been off since their unforgettable last-second loss to Michigan St. two weeks ago, and it will be interesting to see if any “hangover” remains as they go on the road to face Minnesota. The Gophers may not have a particularly impressive record, but they’re a tough, fundamentally-sound group that has already been involved in four games that have been decided by 3 points or fewer. And it will be an emotional day in Minneapolis, as the Gophers will take the field for the first time since their head coach, Jerry Kill, announced he was stepping down for health-related reasons. I’m expecting Minnesota to play with a real edge here, and I’m not sure the Michigan offense is good enough to run away and hide. This one will be more competitive than the experts think.

Recommended Bets (1-3 unit scale)

1 unit Boston College +3 at 1.85 (Titanbet)

1 unit Duke -11 at 1.92 (BetVictor)

2 units Minnesota +14 at 1.8 (bet365)

 

About Victor Holliday 39 Articles
Our College Football expert residing in the heart of SEC country.

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